The fanfest comic opera we call political conventions are now over and gone. Each party’s candidate got the usual bump in the polls at a cost probably of $100 million each. Now it’s on to the ugly war we call the election.
Oh, if it were only over next week, we could avoid all the black-belt smear talk and life would be grand again.
Conventions in the past have usually signaled a pivot in the part of the candidates from the primary rhetoric to a more centrist position for the main event. It has not seemed to happen yet that way this year—and maybe it won’t.
The over-reaching shout-out at the Rep confab was Trump’s declaration and emphasis on being the “Law and Order” candidate—perhaps overplayed a bit to the exclusion of other vital issues.
A recent Gallop poll indicated that only 17% of the American public are satisfied with the way things are going. That leaves a whopping 83% who are dissatisfied.
The take on the Dem lovefest is that Clinton, Obama, all the speakers and all the delegates must be in the 17%.
Our president told us Hillary will be the keeper and continuation of his legacy. Not sure I’d like to run on that platform. And spouse Bill told us she is the agent of change. The conflict of those two directives is likely to be a tough sell.
Hillary’s fifth dimension will be convincing us of how she resolves this conflict.
Obama’s legacy, in my opinion, includes a first-ever Pulitzer Peace Prize for giving great speeches, not for the usual criteria of accomplishments. With the prize in hand, he has helped manage the widest divide and polarization our country has ever seen, as well as an unsustainable 2% or less growth rate per year.
We have the two most flawed and disliked candidates we have seen in our lifetime. Nothing we saw on the TV-infomercials, known as conventions, did much, if anything, to change that.
In my blog on 6/22, I told you the table was set for our November election and I suggested four issues that would be important in our lives during the next four years.
I said that the best way to decide your vote this year would be to choose the candidate who offers the best solution(s) to at least three of the four significant issues I outlined:
- The Economy – jobs, wages, increased growth, the national debt and tax code revisions.
- Immigration – to remain a country of laws, we have to enforce them and do away with sanctuary cities, while encouraging more HBI visas.
- Terrorism – here and abroad. ISIS must be eliminated to help resolve the refugee crisis and make us safer.
- Appointment of Supreme Court Justices – there could be as many as three needed in the next few years.
Everything else is just political filler conversation to pander to niche groups. These four are the crux of this election and we have to hear from both candidates what they propose.
In order not to confuse the issues I outlined in my June blog, I did not include a fifth dimension I believe will be crucial for both candidates in this election as well.
Trump is still being the bombastic flame-thrower with sound-bite barbs on what he thinks about any/all issues, leaving us all to wonder if and when we’ll get some studied detail on what he wants to do.
He faces formidable election odds in the country’s demographics, far behind in fundraising, a predicted low turnout election and a total lack of government operational experience.
His selection of Mike Pence as VP adds a person with diverse government experience. It’s a good choice but may not be enough.
I believe unless he can come up with some credible names to be Secretary of State, Treasury and Defense, his chances of winning will be slim. He will only be acceptable to a majority of voters if he makes up for his lack of governmental knowledge with a strong, well-respected cabinet that he must announce by September. Never done before, so the odds are he won’t either, but that’s his fifth dimension.
There is also the question of whether he can attract and work with these high caliber people.
It should be clearly noted that I, among many others, didn’t give the Donald a chance to win the primaries, so my batting average isn’t too good.
From comments I hear, it appears most of you continue to think I’m a staunch Republican. Believe me folks, it’s not true. I am a fiscal conservative and a social moderate. That means I have no party. It’s true I often vote with the Rep elephant because the Dems have abandoned any semblance of fiscal restraint and the social issues today are mainly decided by popular acceptance rather than legislative leadership.
The Repubs are the lesser of the fiscal restraint evils. I voted for Jerry Brown (D) in 2014 because he’s done a pretty good job of restraining the Democratic legislature.
In this election, I will ignore all the things I don’t like about each candidate and decide who I can vote for based on what I can discern from each candidate on what they want to do about the four critical issues I’ve outlined, as well as the fifth dimension I just outlined.